Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 44.0%). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Novak 46.5% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Malkin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
43.2% (118)
+0.8%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
47.8% (23)
-17.8%
On power play, Novak has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Malkin
Novak
Home
45.5% (202)
50.7% (71)
Away
41.4% (174)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Malkin
Novak
P1
48.4%
44.7%
P2
41.7%
50.0%
P3
40.4%
38.9%
Final 5 min
42.7%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%