Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 51.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Malkin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
42.9% (198)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Malkin has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Malkin
Novak
Home
47.5% (326)
40.9% (110)
Away
44.0% (307)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Malkin
Novak
P1
49.3%
39.1%
P2
44.7%
43.9%
P3
42.3%
44.9%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%