Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Novak 43.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 54.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Malkin
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Malkin
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Malkin
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
40.7% (460)
+7.2%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
61.5% (39)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Malkin
Novak
Home
49.6% (405)
47.0% (236)
Away
47.5% (396)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Malkin
Novak
P1
49.6%
43.1%
P2
47.2%
43.1%
P3
48.5%
40.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |