Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Novak 42.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Malkin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
40.4% (408)
+5.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
45.5% (33)
-10.9%
On power play, Novak has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Malkin
Novak
Home
50.4% (113)
42.0% (212)
Away
39.4% (132)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Malkin
Novak
P1
47.7%
41.9%
P2
44.9%
39.3%
P3
40.0%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%