Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Evans 49.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 68.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Gaudreau
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudreau
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
51.3% (739)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
53.3% (15)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
43.0% (172)
+5.6%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Evans
Home
53.0% (483)
52.1% (503)
Away
46.7% (439)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Gaudreau
Evans
P1
53.5%
50.5%
P2
47.5%
47.7%
P3
49.5%
51.3%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Jake Evans |