Frederick Gaudreau vs Jake Evans
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Evans 51.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 54.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 69.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Gaudreau
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Gaudreau
Evans
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
0
Gaudreau
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
3
Gaudreau
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (3,671)
53.5% (3,567)
-4.7%
Power Play
55.0% (209)
60.0% (70)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (749)
46.8% (1,179)
-0.3%
On power play, Evans has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudreau is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,261).
Gaudreau shoots right. Evans is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,251).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Evans
Home
49.4% (2,377)
53.2% (2,509)
Away
48.0% (2,252)
50.5% (2,307)
By Period
Gaudreau
Evans
P1
49.8%
54.0%
P2
47.3%
50.5%
P3
49.3%
51.6%
OT
36.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Jake Evans |