Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Evans 51.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 52.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Gaudreau
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudreau
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
54.5% (483)
-6.1%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
58.3% (12)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
43.9% (155)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Evans
Home
51.1% (507)
49.4% (336)
Away
47.4% (508)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Gaudreau
Evans
P1
49.4%
55.8%
P2
47.4%
51.7%
P3
51.2%
48.2%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |