Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Evans 52.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 59.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 68.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Gaudreau
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Gaudreau
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
54.4% (807)
-5.4%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
55.0% (20)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
46.1% (310)
+3.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Evans
Home
50.8% (319)
53.7% (581)
Away
48.7% (228)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Gaudreau
Evans
P1
53.4%
54.6%
P2
47.4%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |