Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Evans 52.6% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 73.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Gaudreau
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
54.4% (824)
-5.2%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
66.7% (9)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
48.1% (289)
-2.1%
On power play, Evans has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Evans
Home
47.1% (546)
55.1% (541)
Away
49.4% (551)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Gaudreau
Evans
P1
46.8%
51.8%
P2
46.8%
53.3%
P3
51.1%
53.8%
OT
40.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.9%