Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Eberle wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 46.7% vs Novak 46.5% (-14.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Eberle
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (19)
43.2% (118)
-11.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
47.8% (23)
-47.8%
On power play, Novak has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
45.5% (11)
50.7% (71)
Away
11.1% (9)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
27.3%
44.7%
P2
33.3%
50.0%
P3
33.3%
38.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
30.0%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%