Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 47.6% vs Novak 44.9% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 56.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Eberle
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (23)
41.7% (206)
-6.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.6% (19)
+47.4%
On power play, Eberle has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
25.0% (12)
44.9% (118)
Away
50.0% (12)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
33.3%
41.5%
P2
44.4%
44.0%
P3
33.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
37.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%