Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 48.3% vs Novak 45.0% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Eberle 50.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 64.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Eberle
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (14)
42.9% (198)
+7.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
On power play, Novak has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
33.3% (9)
40.9% (110)
Away
44.4% (9)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
66.7%
39.1%
P2
0.0%
43.9%
P3
40.0%
44.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
38.9%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%