Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.5% vs 42.2%). Eberle wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 46.8% vs Novak 43.5% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Eberle 59.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 70.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Eberle
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (63)
40.7% (460)
-2.6%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
61.5% (39)
+8.5%
On power play, Eberle has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
44.7% (38)
47.0% (236)
Away
40.0% (35)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
42.9%
43.1%
P2
36.7%
43.1%
P3
48.3%
40.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
42.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%