Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Eberle wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 43.1% vs Novak 43.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 64.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 58.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.4%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Eberle
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eberle
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
1
0
Eberle
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (343)
42.2% (1,366)
-0.8%
Power Play
40.4% (57)
53.3% (120)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Novak has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
39.6% (192)
46.0% (737)
Away
43.1% (216)
40.3% (751)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
43.2%
43.9%
P2
34.8%
44.2%
P3
45.3%
40.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
41.4%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |