Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.7%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Zibanejad
Gourde
Last 8: Zibanejad 4-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
49.1% (847)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
79.5% (44)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
39.5% (81)
+2.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
49.0% (681)
50.1% (491)
Away
49.9% (717)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
49.9%
54.7%
P2
47.6%
45.0%
P3
51.1%
49.4%
OT
48.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |