Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
Last 7: Zibanejad 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
48.0% (914)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
54.2% (48)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
43.9% (123)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
51.1% (536)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.6% (576)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
50.1%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
45.3%
P3
50.7%
48.6%
OT
45.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |