Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
47.2% (687)
+6.1%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
45.0% (20)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
33.0% (88)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
49.8% (466)
44.4% (356)
Away
54.0% (530)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
52.9%
42.2%
P2
51.2%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
44.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |