Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 78.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 71.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
11
(31 meetings)
20
11
Zibanejad
Gourde
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
3
Zibanejad
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
9
3
Zibanejad
Gourde
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
5
Zibanejad
Gourde
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
48.4% (4,987)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
57.4% (376)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
40.0% (555)
+1.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
51.6% (7,603)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
50.4%
49.8%
P2
49.7%
47.5%
P3
49.9%
47.5%
OT
48.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |