Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Gourde 48.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 63.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
11
(31 meetings)
20
11
Zibanejad
Gourde
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
3
Zibanejad
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
9
3
Zibanejad
Gourde
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
5
Zibanejad
Gourde
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (11,540)
48.5% (4,763)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.2% (1,848)
57.5% (367)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (1,766)
39.9% (534)
+1.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,873).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
51.6% (7,444)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
48.3% (7,711)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
50.4%
50.4%
P2
49.7%
47.2%
P3
49.8%
47.2%
OT
48.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |