Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Zibanejad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zibanejad
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
51.2% (469)
+1.7%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
42.9% (21)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
37.5% (48)
+8.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gourde
Home
55.1% (501)
47.8% (301)
Away
49.2% (555)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gourde
P1
57.5%
47.3%
P2
50.7%
53.4%
P3
47.9%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |