Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Aho 54.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Frost
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Frost
Aho
Last 9: Frost 3-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Frost
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Frost
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
54.5% (870)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
62.4% (266)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
37.1% (62)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Frost
Aho
Home
50.7% (489)
53.9% (603)
Away
51.7% (544)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Frost
Aho
P1
53.6%
54.1%
P2
47.8%
55.0%
P3
52.0%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |