Nic Dowd vs Nico Sturm

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 50.8% vs Sturm 56.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor Sturm leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Sturm 74.0%
Defensive zone Sturm 56.0%
Neutral zone Sturm 51.0%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Dowd Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 9 (16 meetings)
7
9
Dowd Sturm
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Sturm

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
5
Dowd Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
3
Dowd Sturm
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd Sturm
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (5,850)
57.1% (2,681)
-4.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
61.3% (62)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (1,600)
51.7% (482)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +7.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,015).
Dowd shoots right. Sturm is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,066).
Home / Away
Dowd
Sturm
Home
52.1% (3,753)
57.3% (1,595)
Away
49.6% (3,862)
55.5% (1,630)
By Period
Dowd
Sturm
P1
51.9%
56.4%
P2
50.7%
55.1%
P3
50.1%
57.6%
OT
45.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%
54.0%
50.8%
Sturm
56.0%
58.5%
56.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 16, 2025 2 14:06 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 16, 2025 2 13:52 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 16, 2025 2 08:27 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 22, 2025 3 02:06 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 3, 2024 1 12:32 Offensive Nico Sturm
Nov 27, 2023 3 10:34 Offensive Nico Sturm
Nov 27, 2023 3 03:18 Offensive Nico Sturm
Nov 27, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Nico Sturm
Nov 27, 2023 2 06:07 Offensive Nico Sturm
Nov 27, 2023 1 19:00 Offensive Nico Sturm
Mar 4, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Nic Dowd
Mar 4, 2023 2 18:30 Offensive Nic Dowd
Mar 4, 2023 2 11:13 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 4, 2023 1 03:42 Defensive Nico Sturm
Apr 18, 2022 2 06:41 Defensive Nic Dowd
Jan 8, 2022 OT 03:49 Defensive Nico Sturm