Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 68.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Paul
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
51.4% (735)
+1.6%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
63.5% (115)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
42.9% (133)
+0.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Paul
Karlsson
Home
52.5% (516)
52.3% (524)
Away
47.1% (329)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Paul
Karlsson
P1
47.6%
50.7%
P2
48.4%
51.4%
P3
54.5%
53.2%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%