Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Paul
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
58.5% (135)
-4.8%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
80.0% (5)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
44.4% (18)
+8.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Paul
Karlsson
Home
55.1% (216)
63.7% (91)
Away
53.6% (233)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Paul
Karlsson
P1
54.9%
54.4%
P2
54.5%
66.7%
P3
54.3%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%