Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 55.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Paul
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (277)
58.5% (135)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
80.0% (5)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
44.4% (18)
+7.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Paul is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Paul shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Paul
Karlsson
Home
52.9% (155)
63.7% (91)
Away
54.3% (197)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Paul
Karlsson
P1
55.6%
54.4%
P2
56.7%
66.7%
P3
50.8%
51.9%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%