Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +44.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Novak 46.5% (-44.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 51.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Kelly
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (2)
43.2% (118)
-43.2%
On even strength, Novak has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kelly is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Kelly shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kelly
Novak
Home
0.0% (2)
50.7% (71)
Away
0.0% (0)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Kelly
Novak
P1
0.0%
44.7%
P3
0.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
0.0%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%