Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.5% vs Novak 45.6% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 69.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Kelly
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (6)
43.8% (384)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Kelly shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Kelly
Novak
Home
60.0% (5)
46.5% (202)
Away
33.3% (6)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Kelly
Novak
P1
33.3%
49.2%
P2
40.0%
44.2%
P3
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
45.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%