Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Steel 49.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
49.3% (383)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (88)
14.3% (7)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Home
38.5% (231)
49.4% (180)
Away
43.2% (206)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
P1
40.2%
51.9%
P2
36.0%
43.8%
P3
45.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |