Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Steel 46.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 57.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
44.6% (177)
+6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
44.8% (29)
-8.9%
On power play, Steel has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Home
50.8% (258)
46.7% (90)
Away
44.9% (234)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
P1
51.6%
47.8%
P2
45.2%
47.0%
P3
47.6%
41.3%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Sam Steel |