Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Steel 50.6% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 58.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
52.5% (200)
-6.5%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
71.4% (7)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
40.0% (45)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Home
50.3% (175)
49.5% (109)
Away
40.4% (114)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
P1
48.5%
49.5%
P2
45.9%
47.5%
P3
46.5%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%