Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 46.5% vs Lewis 45.0% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lewis 50.7%
Neutral zone
Lewis 56.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Novak
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (118)
42.5% (127)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
66.7% (6)
-18.9%
On power play, Lewis has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Novak shoots left. Lewis is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Novak
Lewis
Home
50.7% (71)
47.4% (95)
Away
37.1% (70)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Novak
Lewis
P1
44.7%
36.4%
P2
50.0%
45.8%
P3
38.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
35.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%