Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Lewis 47.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Novak
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Novak
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Novak
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Novak
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
46.0% (189)
-3.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
100.0% (2)
-59.1%
On power play, Lewis has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Novak shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Novak
Lewis
Home
40.9% (110)
43.3% (90)
Away
44.5% (110)
49.1% (108)
By Period
Novak
Lewis
P1
39.1%
46.9%
P2
43.9%
46.3%
P3
44.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
25.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |