Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.1% vs 42.9%). Look for Lewis on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Novak wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.6% vs Lewis 43.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Lewis leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 63.6%
Defensive zone
Lewis 66.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 53.7%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Novak
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Novak
Lewis
Last 10: Novak 4-6 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Novak
Lewis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
3
Novak
Lewis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Novak
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (1,366)
43.2% (2,347)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.3% (120)
51.9% (108)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.6% (365)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Novak is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Novak shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Novak
Lewis
Home
46.0% (737)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
40.3% (751)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Novak
Lewis
P1
43.9%
42.8%
P2
44.2%
43.9%
P3
40.9%
41.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
43.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |