Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.6% vs Lewis 44.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lewis 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lewis 60.4%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Novak
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Novak
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Novak
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Novak
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (384)
41.8% (251)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
45.5% (11)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Novak shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Novak
Lewis
Home
46.5% (202)
39.2% (166)
Away
42.5% (200)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Novak
Lewis
P1
49.2%
45.2%
P2
44.2%
43.8%
P3
40.0%
37.8%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |