Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Larkin 52.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 65.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 64.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
51.8% (903)
-6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.0% (225)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
47.4% (76)
-12.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
49.5% (107)
55.6% (662)
Away
32.4% (71)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
38.2%
49.9%
P2
47.4%
52.7%
P3
40.4%
53.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.7%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |