Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Larkin 54.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 62.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Kerfoot
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Kerfoot
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
53.6% (886)
-8.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
59.3% (317)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
48.7% (152)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
47.6% (84)
56.6% (700)
Away
41.0% (61)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
50.9%
55.4%
P2
38.2%
54.7%
P3
44.1%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
44.8%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |