Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Kerfoot
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
52.4% (773)
-3.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.6% (220)
+41.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
47.3% (146)
-34.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
28.0% (25)
51.9% (615)
Away
64.7% (17)
54.2% (524)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
47.6%
52.3%
P2
25.0%
53.2%
P3
55.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.9%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.9%