Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Larkin 52.2% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kerfoot
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
51.1% (915)
+2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.4% (261)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
48.2% (168)
-23.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
41.7% (60)
51.7% (686)
Away
58.3% (72)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
53.8%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
47.8%
51.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%