Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Larkin 54.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 57.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 57.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Kerfoot
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
52.6% (1,117)
+0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
60.7% (305)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
55.9% (177)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
57.4% (235)
54.7% (783)
Away
47.9% (259)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
53.2%
55.9%
P2
53.3%
56.1%
P3
50.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |