Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Larkin 55.0% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 51.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kerfoot
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
55.9% (943)
-5.5%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
57.4% (244)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
46.2% (106)
-7.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
51.4% (467)
56.0% (654)
Away
43.5% (395)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
49.1%
54.4%
P2
42.4%
55.9%
P3
52.7%
55.2%
OT
25.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%