Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 72.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 72.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Kerfoot
Larkin
Last 10: Kerfoot 2-8 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Kerfoot
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Kerfoot
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
51.6% (9,056)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
58.6% (2,140)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
50.2% (1,124)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
51.0% (1,795)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
47.4%
52.7%
P2
46.0%
53.1%
P3
50.5%
52.0%
OT
29.4%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |