Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.7% vs Larkin 52.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 75.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 75.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Kerfoot
Larkin
Last 10: Kerfoot 2-8 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Kerfoot
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Kerfoot
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (2,767)
51.7% (8,914)
-3.1%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
58.5% (2,099)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (381)
50.1% (1,102)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,074).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,773).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
51.0% (1,760)
54.0% (6,206)
Away
44.0% (1,653)
51.4% (5,909)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
47.1%
52.7%
P2
45.6%
53.1%
P3
50.6%
52.1%
OT
29.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.6%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |