Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Miller 53.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 92.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tkachuk
Miller
Last 7: Tkachuk 4-3 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Tkachuk
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
55.5% (933)
-10.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
61.6% (73)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.8% (227)
+54.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
51.1% (233)
53.5% (578)
Away
49.0% (202)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
42.9%
58.3%
P2
52.2%
53.5%
P3
53.7%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
50.1%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |