Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Miller 55.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 60.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 95.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 64.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tkachuk
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
56.3% (1,033)
-8.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
62.5% (253)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.4% (175)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
56.0% (175)
58.6% (734)
Away
49.8% (205)
54.1% (727)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
55.0%
57.1%
P2
51.9%
57.0%
P3
47.3%
54.7%
OT
77.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |