Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Miller 54.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 78.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 67.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Tkachuk
Miller
Last 9: Tkachuk 3-6 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Miller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Tkachuk
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
2
Tkachuk
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
55.7% (589)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
60.9% (138)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
47.2% (159)
-34.7%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
49.9% (389)
56.1% (440)
Away
46.8% (376)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
44.4%
52.3%
P2
51.8%
54.7%
P3
47.8%
57.2%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |