Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Miller 60.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 64.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 68.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tkachuk
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
62.0% (582)
-7.1%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
65.9% (126)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.7% (71)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
50.8% (128)
63.0% (416)
Away
62.9% (132)
60.1% (363)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
56.6%
60.7%
P2
58.9%
63.9%
P3
56.2%
60.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |