Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Miller 57.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 61.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 92.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 69.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tkachuk
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
58.2% (823)
-7.2%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
58.2% (165)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.9% (90)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
50.0% (140)
59.1% (558)
Away
52.2% (207)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
54.3%
60.7%
P2
50.0%
57.5%
P3
49.5%
56.1%
OT
33.3%
73.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
51.3%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |