Brock Nelson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
43.0% (349)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
31.8% (88)
-3.2%
On even strength, Nelson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.8% (458)
38.5% (231)
Away
49.0% (506)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.1%
40.2%
P2
45.4%
36.0%
P3
52.7%
45.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%