Brock Nelson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
50.3% (479)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.0% (28)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
30.0% (50)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.5% (590)
48.9% (270)
Away
51.7% (619)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.5%
48.7%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
47.3%
OT
47.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |