Brock Nelson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.0% (408)
-4.9%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
0.0% (6)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
35.9% (78)
-5.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.7% (419)
50.8% (258)
Away
41.3% (368)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.6%
51.6%
P2
47.3%
45.2%
P3
43.0%
47.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%