Brock Nelson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
45.4% (527)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
41.2% (17)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
44.9% (138)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.9% (521)
46.1% (336)
Away
45.5% (516)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.9%
49.1%
P2
48.0%
45.3%
P3
48.0%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |