Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Larkin 52.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 61.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 58.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Larkin
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Kerfoot
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
51.0% (973)
-3.7%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
59.5% (252)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.6% (137)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
53.2% (216)
54.9% (721)
Away
39.8% (191)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
43.2%
52.4%
P2
46.6%
50.8%
P3
51.0%
54.4%
OT
20.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.9%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |