Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.5%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Eller 49.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 63.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Gaudreau
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Gaudreau
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
51.1% (786)
-2.0%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
45.0% (80)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
43.6% (165)
+5.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
53.0% (483)
51.2% (510)
Away
46.7% (439)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
53.5%
50.7%
P2
47.5%
49.0%
P3
49.5%
48.3%
OT
37.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |