Frederick Gaudreau vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 64.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 62.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 62.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Gaudreau
Eller
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
7
Gaudreau
Eller
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
8
Gaudreau
Eller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (3,671)
51.0% (10,168)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.0% (209)
52.8% (621)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (749)
46.7% (1,740)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,368).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
49.4% (2,377)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
48.0% (2,252)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
49.8%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
49.3%
50.2%
OT
36.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.7%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |